CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3902d7e6a7f3827ff9fa477f496f6cbdf2c217ab72f0f48bbb56fb65c28d6a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Heroic, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0900…3e1dbacked Heroic | 38c | 10,700$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…9b1abacked PARIVISION | 62c | 10,700$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,574$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.3 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Heroic | 40c | 1,258$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 3c | 1,152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked Heroic | 13c | 905.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 839$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heroic | 12c | 708$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…f8fbbacked Heroic | 6c | 601.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Heroic | 3c | 590.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heroic | 8c | 443$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Heroic | 18c | 328.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Heroic | 40c | 242.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 37c | 186.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…ea4bbacked Heroic | 15c | 161.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Heroic | 36c | 150.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 9c | 117.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Heroic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Heroic | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…caf9backed PARIVISION | 62c | 85.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Heroic | 35c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0b…09c6backed PARIVISION | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.