Euroleague · resolved market
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanxi Loongs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391349e730db127022d00f5b7a2f891d837ae4efcd608eedf1f3eb00181f3ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanxi Loongsof Jilin Northeast Tigers, Shanxi Loongs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shanxi Loongs | 73c | 11,529$8,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.15 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 10,000$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 28c | 3,930$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.4 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 2,101$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 1,845$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 28c | 1,815$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.29 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 1,046$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 34c | 1,000$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Shanxi Loongs | 64c | 882$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 603$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Shanxi Loongs | 79c | 594.58$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 21c | 441.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 25c | 399.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 357.13$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 21c | 346.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 24c | 315.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Shanxi Loongs | 61c | 302.3$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 20c | 297.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 273.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shanxi Loongs | 70c | 262.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 199.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 198.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Shanxi Loongs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shanxi Loongs | 67c | 144.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 28c | 128.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 92.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 83.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Shanxi Loongs | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Shanxi Loongs | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Shanxi Loongs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 20c | 53.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 22c | 50.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Shanxi Loongs | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Shanxi Loongs | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 59c | 25.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Shanxi Loongs | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7005…c63cbacked Shanxi Loongs | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.