Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3915774b69dac6cda89f19a953c52154a8fa5cbbbb74c44ce783b89d1a698854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 1,851$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.39 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 43c | 1,173$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 43c | 982.78$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.87 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 879.35$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 816.53$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.18 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 20c | 653.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 601.7$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 552.28$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.07 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 433.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 40c | 380.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 61c | 328.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 27c | 295.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 281$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 272.25$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 175.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 39c | 161.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 34c | 137.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 128.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 39c | 113.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 106.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 42c | 105.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed No | 79c | 102.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 92.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 58c | 89.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 81.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 58c | 79.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 72.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 36c | 60.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 60.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 39c | 52.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 62c | 51.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed No | 57c | 48.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 38c | 45.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 42.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 41c | 38.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 41c | 38.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 60c | 34.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 63c | 32.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 31.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 42c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 42c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 28.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 64c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 61c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 65c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 64c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 64c | 20.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 56c | 19.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 63c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed No | 63c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 63c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…c0d2backed No | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.