Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x392bed40e46459ae5c4d0aa9fdeb5c095c4c441cb4fee3247f9050ac4d232415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Zero Tenacity, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 33,617$14,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,689.98 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 57c | 9,769$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.96 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 4,729$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.19 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 64c | 4,408$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Lynx | 54c | 4,316$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.28 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Lynx | 53c | 4,280$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 3,516$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.67 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 68c | 2,496$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.64 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 2,397$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.64 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 2,068$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Lynx | 60c | 2,004$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.43 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 1,697$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.02 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 62c | 1,554$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 1,544$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.58 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 69c | 1,253$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.95 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 634.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 587.5$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Lynx | 65c | 535.19$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Lynx | 50c | 505.62$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 474.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Lynx | 63c | 467.07$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 413.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 399.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 65c | 393.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 384.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Lynx | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Lynx | 79c | 291.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 255.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Lynx | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 220.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 153.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Team Lynx | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 146.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Lynx | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 119.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 62c | 114.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 107.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 103.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 103.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Lynx | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Zero Tenacity | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 76.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 68.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Team Lynx | 62c | 63.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 62.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 42.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Lynx | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…24a6backed Team Lynx | 59c | 27.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Team Lynx | 62c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…f4f7backed Team Lynx | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…d719backed Team Lynx | 54c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Team Lynx | 59c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.