TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity58c18,281$10,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,678.0315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Lynx52c11,858$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,126.8240051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Lynx48c5,870$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.3450832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Zero Tenacity62c5,222$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.7447046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Lynx59c4,774$2,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,811.7554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Zero Tenacity35c4,759$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.471,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Zero Tenacity71c4,265$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Lynx50c3,943$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.3447650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx54c2,637$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.112,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Zero Tenacity46c2,545$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.418042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx35c2,538$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.4751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Team Lynx59c2,480$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.13767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Zero Tenacity46c2,473$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Zero Tenacity41c2,464$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.0241944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Lynx30c2,323$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.7627737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Zero Tenacity59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8204261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Zero Tenacity68c1,863$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity49c1,597$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.981,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Zero Tenacity52c1,582$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.5225147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Lynx42c1,544$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.618447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx40c1,423$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.461,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Lynx43c1,346$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.721,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx45c1,208$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.72,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity40c1,185$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.3336654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Team Lynx73c1,047$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.072748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Team Lynx43c1,035$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.163935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx48c1,028$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.812,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Lynx35c976.06$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1646240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity53c967.82$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.941,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Zero Tenacity46c899.99$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4893540%14 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Lynx39c895.62$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.011,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Zero Tenacity45c842.29$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.056165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity75c839.5$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8736759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx7c761.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.56132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Lynx56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42032652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Lynx20c748$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4752243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Lynx50c740.98$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8041…05d6backed Team Lynx52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3643053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Lynx66c692.57$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0912547.2%59 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Zero Tenacity71c687.82$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4750769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b62…12edbacked Zero Tenacity60c650.67$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx52c650.62$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked Team Lynx39c600.66$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.932222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Zero Tenacity68c600.58$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.56349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity46c593.23$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1529240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Zero Tenacity50c589.6$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.844645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Lynx50c576.55$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0933867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Zero Tenacity38c557.53$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4814747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Lynx42c535.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9950749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c09…8a0bbacked Zero Tenacity75c530$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity46c515.35$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1836851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Team Lynx42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.695251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Team Lynx43c479.28$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.095940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Zero Tenacity63c469.88$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4425246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Zero Tenacity26c462.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.165625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Zero Tenacity44c460.95$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2562035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Zero Tenacity80c444.48$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8717954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity76c425.42$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4586659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf5…c393backed Zero Tenacity80c421.24$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.746740.3%27 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Zero Tenacity58c399.52$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.84845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Lynx67c396.98$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9861548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Zero Tenacity59c388.21$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.172466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Lynx45c387.53$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.251,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Lynx43c363.52$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6648352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx27c338$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Zero Tenacity34c334.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5834443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx71c328.66$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.181,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed Team Lynx40c308.63$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.014027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity47c307.57$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.581,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Team Lynx53c293.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8460251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Team Lynx67c292.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0410770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Lynx54c285.04$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6820151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Lynx59c274.51$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6257455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Team Lynx54c269.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1940047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Zero Tenacity44c262.21$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2218954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Lynx13c250$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.553634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Lynx48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Lynx55c249.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9888166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Lynx57c246.56$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.541,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Zero Tenacity60c237.49$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Team Lynx32c237.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2515942.8%68 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Team Lynx52c229.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.264346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx48c224.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.71,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Zero Tenacity69c220.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3946664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Lynx42c212.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Zero Tenacity61c212.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10456243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Zero Tenacity39c204.48$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4413152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Team Lynx37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Zero Tenacity50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10033644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Team Lynx37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7416250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Team Lynx37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748253.7%44 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Zero Tenacity55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9033549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Team Lynx60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4211858.5%69 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx66c195.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9747951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Team Lynx37c183$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0322552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Zero Tenacity77c182.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3857654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Lynx55c178.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2835461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx41c177.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Zero Tenacity57c169.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.726657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.