Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393c9e7d206e4c907bf64fe2231ba49e93332603bdec2f275ba62ae4143e1efd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof WIP Esports, Nuxeria Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuxeria Esport | 16c | 882.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Nuxeria Esport | 6c | 471.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nuxeria Esport | 13c | 298.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Nuxeria Esport | 10c | 125.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuxeria Esport | 12c | 122.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuxeria Esport | 16c | 101.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 27c | 100.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Nuxeria Esport | 28c | 96.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…c37ebacked Nuxeria Esport | 28c | 54.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nuxeria Esport | 19c | 53.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed WIP Esports | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.