Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3944df4b0261d2da713f1aab32a438a3e6ea78551321c82a29ab5706a0d51717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 48c | 48,548$23,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,063.06 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 30,471$14,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,526.02 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 53c | 22,277$11,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,545.22 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 54c | 3,606$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.56 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 912.64$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 668.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 52c | 528.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 54c | 357.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 332.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 53c | 278.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 50c | 106.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…4cc7backed Over | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 83.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 53c | 49.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Over | 55c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 150.5this page
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian WildcatsSouthern Utah Thunderbirds won
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 149.5Over won
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.