Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507b918186a87056201a44b64b48e172b9845336d2d4a3aeb35415f6253201ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utah Thunderbirdsof Southern Utah Thunderbirds, Abilene Christian Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 45c | 3,282$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 2,356$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.37 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 55c | 2,340$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.65 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 42c | 1,663$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.87 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 1,323$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.02 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 4c | 652.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 618.27$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 54c | 422$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 36c | 329$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 44c | 222.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 67c | 201$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 47c | 179.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 30c | 167.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 44c | 167.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 63c | 112$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 79c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 32c | 82.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 23c | 76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 78c | 60.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 66c | 58.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 72c | 48.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 69c | 40.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 34c | 40.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 71c | 39.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 68c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcatsthis page
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 149.5Over won
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 150.5Over won
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.