Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39941fe059e3078ec7cb579dcc10bc4311fb38a6fb6d5153e2c2c4df6262a385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Gozenof G2 Gozen, Habos Babos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Gozen | 60c | 511.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.46 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Habos Babos | 39c | 420$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Habos Babos | 38c | 262.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…dd32backed Habos Babos | 43c | 221.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 64c | 174.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Habos Babos | 41c | 165.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 61c | 163.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Gozen | 65c | 133.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Habos Babos | 40c | 131.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed G2 Gozen | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed G2 Gozen | 61c | 83.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed G2 Gozen | 67c | 58.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Habos Babos | 40c | 37.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0ea2backed Habos Babos | 40c | 37.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Gozen | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9122…50e6backed Habos Babos | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen | 70c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Habos Babos - Map 1 WinnerHabos Babos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.