Lol · resolved market
LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39bc2d9fd7ffd7447391bcd6828199f426183dda2aa68f136190f0c67a5c693b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meavedronof Meavedron, Bohemian Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed Meavedron | 65c | 500.33$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Bohemian Guardians | 8c | 399.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Bohemian Guardians | 26c | 317.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bohemian Guardians | 5c | 263.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Meavedron | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bohemian Guardians | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Bohemian Guardians | 35c | 144.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Bohemian Guardians | 36c | 134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bohemian Guardians | 13c | 96.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bohemian Guardians | 34c | 88.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Meavedron | 65c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Bohemian Guardians | 32c | 80.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…b6cebacked Meavedron | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…dc55backed Bohemian Guardians | 28c | 68.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Meavedron | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Bohemian Guardians | 34c | 53.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Bohemian Guardians | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Meavedron | 74c | 35.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Meavedron | 78c | 21.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Meavedron | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…16e3backed Meavedron | 78c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Meavedron | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.