TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, METANOIA WOLVES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,035 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4db…7e0cbacked METANOIA WOLVES37c2,184$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.211,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed METANOIA WOLVES32c1,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.642,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE55c1,051$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.957,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed METANOIA WOLVES24c1,012$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6529831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked METANOIA WOLVES33c927.03$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.472,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES37c878.1$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.856,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked UNO MILLE55c782$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3632752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UNO MILLE59c749$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.083,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UNO MILLE68c729.23$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.984,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked METANOIA WOLVES31c626.32$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked METANOIA WOLVES30c462.87$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4521939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…fd1bbacked METANOIA WOLVES26c385$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed METANOIA WOLVES49c335.89$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0352951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed UNO MILLE61c226.52$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3418536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE62c210.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.725,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed METANOIA WOLVES24c200.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.513436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed METANOIA WOLVES51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed METANOIA WOLVES37c192$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.541,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a36…53acbacked METANOIA WOLVES7c182$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed METANOIA WOLVES17c168$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1214448.6%70 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed METANOIA WOLVES41c159$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9824747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed METANOIA WOLVES28c156$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1645224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed UNO MILLE57c122.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.281,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed METANOIA WOLVES38c115.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed UNO MILLE57c106.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2532643.3%141 W · 185 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed METANOIA WOLVES39c105.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.361,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed METANOIA WOLVES29c105$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0522324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked METANOIA WOLVES39c101$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4760147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed METANOIA WOLVES37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.531,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed UNO MILLE69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.82,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked UNO MILLE72c91.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.025747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c3…da3fbacked METANOIA WOLVES25c77.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UNO MILLE58c77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.342,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed METANOIA WOLVES33c70.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.122,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked UNO MILLE73c67.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.971,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed METANOIA WOLVES37c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f56…9431backed METANOIA WOLVES50c60.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9db…3999backed METANOIA WOLVES37c58.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked UNO MILLE61c58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed UNO MILLE64c46.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.722,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed UNO MILLE59c40.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5755950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked METANOIA WOLVES37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.818541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed UNO MILLE63c39.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4947053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed UNO MILLE60c37.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9396049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed METANOIA WOLVES41c37.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6452755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed METANOIA WOLVES36c31.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.122,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked UNO MILLE58c29.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5972451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked UNO MILLE57c26.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2615352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed UNO MILLE52c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5219155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked METANOIA WOLVES48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.525,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed UNO MILLE65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0854839.8%218 W · 330 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed UNO MILLE57c22.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+71.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed UNO MILLE67c19.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5140856.9%232 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.