Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d4e00584318b0154a28914d84b8ebda434640a1221702cbac91035f617aa1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crest Gaming Zstof REJECT, Crest Gaming Zst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,851 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed REJECT | 43c | 4,384$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.44 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 2,346$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Crest Gaming Zst | 63c | 939.41$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 60c | 915$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.25 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REJECT | 42c | 831.18$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.14 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 807.37$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 732.56$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 667$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.95 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed REJECT | 44c | 567.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked REJECT | 39c | 497.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked REJECT | 39c | 380$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked Crest Gaming Zst | 58c | 336$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +402.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 253.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed REJECT | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 62c | 214.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed REJECT | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…1b99backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 184.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…a11abacked REJECT | 42c | 176$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…a721backed REJECT | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e685backed REJECT | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…ee56backed Crest Gaming Zst | 64c | 145$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Crest Gaming Zst | 62c | 144.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked REJECT | 41c | 129.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REJECT | 34c | 108.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 85.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REJECT | 42c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Crest Gaming Zst | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…92d8backed Crest Gaming Zst | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Crest Gaming Zst | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Crest Gaming Zst | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Crest Gaming Zst | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Crest Gaming Zst | 63c | 32.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…9782backed REJECT | 44c | 25.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked REJECT | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs Crest Gaming Zst (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1this page
- Valorant: REJECT vs Crest Gaming Zst - Map 2 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.