Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e87489ed5224abe810cf18c55cb1bc703801f975211e0c7b3ccfedd237afa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gimcheon Sangmu FCof FC Seoul, Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 76c | 2,558$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.14 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed FC Seoul | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed FC Seoul | 23c | 599.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed FC Seoul | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 151.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Seoul | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Seoul | 22c | 76.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 75.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FC Seoul | 25c | 75.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Seoul | 25c | 73.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Seoul | 24c | 55.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Seoul | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 35.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 34.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 33.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 76c | 30.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 27.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 77c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.