Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc85aec8acd74746ee82da11a053b998017012321a54b50b5a0da30bf24297177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.37 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 51c | 1,171$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.19 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 814.49$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.53 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 727.47$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.08 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 546.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 520$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 400.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 191.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 53c | 189.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 174.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 52c | 87.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 55.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 55.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 52c | 46.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 43.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 51c | 31.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.