Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a00a2560888da90f19969b7094d486dca3a69f40daf258dd2b2c405d5345695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof CCG Esports, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Winthrop University | 69c | 2,200$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.18 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked CCG Esports | 31c | 776.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CCG Esports | 30c | 380$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Winthrop University | 70c | 372$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed CCG Esports | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked CCG Esports | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CCG Esports | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked CCG Esports | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked CCG Esports | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed CCG Esports | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Winthrop University | 69c | 135.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Winthrop University | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed CCG Esports | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CCG Esports | 30c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked CCG Esports | 31c | 62.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed CCG Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed CCG Esports | 32c | 48.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked CCG Esports | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Winthrop University | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Winthrop University | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Winthrop University | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…439ebacked Winthrop University | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CCG (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: WU (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsCCG Esports won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerCCG Esports won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerCCG Esports won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.