TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Winthrop University, CCG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed CCG Esports44c29,315$13,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,032.6892254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Winthrop University51c22,549$11,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,064.9490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked CCG Esports42c5,924$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.631,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Winthrop University48c4,665$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.841,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked CCG Esports1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed CCG Esports52c2,857$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.7527346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Winthrop University67c2,622$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.651,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked CCG Esports51c2,620$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.2115147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked CCG Esports51c2,500$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.51,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed CCG Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Winthrop University45c1,992$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.5388544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Winthrop University47c1,959$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.4190443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Winthrop University48c1,922$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.781,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed CCG Esports52c1,900$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98896350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Winthrop University57c1,733$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.5961154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Winthrop University47c1,691$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.2667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Winthrop University75c1,669$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.7275342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed CCG Esports1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161543.9%6 W · 148 L-0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Winthrop University51c1,361$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.091,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed CCG Esports48c1,228$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.481,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfe…7c45backed CCG Esports17c1,188$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed CCG Esports30c1,133$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.419335.2%68 W · 125 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed CCG Esports49c1,042$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.591,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Winthrop University61c931.28$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.641,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Winthrop University49c876.53$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.0390937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ff…7ef4backed CCG Esports38c868.19$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Winthrop University46c760.84$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8516048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Winthrop University47c727.02$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.3251852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed CCG Esports41c717.4$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.181,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked CCG Esports2c700$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed CCG Esports41c693.44$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.512,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Winthrop University47c660$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.21,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked CCG Esports33c599.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20145937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked CCG Esports10c549.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,45613.2%192 W · 1,264 L-111.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked CCG Esports50c528.3$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26527244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed Winthrop University50c501.08$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7438057.4%218 W · 162 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Winthrop University48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26019959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Winthrop University46c499.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2683565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0204…521bbacked CCG Esports6c499.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307010%7 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University69c469$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8786943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked Winthrop University46c460.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.361625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed CCG Esports53c452.44$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7939447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked CCG Esports4c449.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4433125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Winthrop University57c439.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.27060%42 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed CCG Esports6c410.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8945618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed CCG Esports52c385.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018547%87 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked CCG Esports38c372.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1335341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked CCG Esports55c364.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x951a…11f8backed CCG Esports55c359.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.612343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked Winthrop University57c350.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6322751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University59c333.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.91,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Winthrop University75c332.42$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed CCG Esports26c332.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8616837.5%63 W · 105 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked Winthrop University47c311.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.844456.8%25 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed CCG Esports49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1450945.8%233 W · 276 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Winthrop University45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15418047.2%85 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Winthrop University48c271.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4429554.2%160 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Winthrop University45c254.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3922336.8%82 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…0bf2backed Winthrop University48c247.84$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CCG Esports53c234$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.151,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked CCG Esports53c229.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.251,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Winthrop University49c224.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6581333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed CCG Esports53c220.3$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3348747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Winthrop University50c219.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2539266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Winthrop University53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9412446.8%58 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Winthrop University50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Winthrop University46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10817445.4%79 W · 95 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University61c199.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.921,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Winthrop University56c197.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed CCG Esports6c195.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215135.8%54 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CCG Esports41c195.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.522,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked CCG Esports54c185.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1371157%405 W · 306 L+40.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked CCG Esports43c185.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5810251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Winthrop University45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9943051.4%221 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed CCG Esports54c179.65$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0142455%233 W · 191 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University53c178.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.331,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University53c169.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.071,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked CCG Esports48c163.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6536560.3%220 W · 145 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CCG Esports47c151.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.812,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed CCG Esports15c149.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311464.9%74 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4582…82b9backed CCG Esports53c133.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4611761.5%72 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Winthrop University57c132.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.481,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed CCG Esports11c130$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.839352.4%206 W · 187 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Winthrop University50c125$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8742149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b1…4781backed CCG Esports48c120.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7110454.8%57 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Winthrop University47c119.43$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.31,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Winthrop University70c117$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11,06028.5%302 W · 758 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…0118backed Winthrop University48c115.85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.244957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked CCG Esports39c115$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.440231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed CCG Esports13c110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.956610.4%59 W · 507 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Winthrop University48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5217040%68 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Winthrop University58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210253.9%55 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Winthrop University78c99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.483,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…a140backed CCG Esports55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Winthrop University67c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4539755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked CCG Esports13c89.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.475219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa689…2798backed Winthrop University49c80.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.378646.5%40 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked CCG Esports37c76.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.412,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7d3…b82ebacked CCG Esports28c75.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6564…47cebacked CCG Esports53c75.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.