Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vacaria: Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva vs Marjorie Souza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a253b12a2197038b7bfd92a49535694c1068a2fc6bf1fa152ff936ebf1d9beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silvaof Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva, Marjorie Souza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva | 79c | 2,809$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marjorie Souza | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Marjorie Souza | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Marjorie Souza | 35c | 287.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marjorie Souza | 19c | 281.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva | 77c | 252.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Marjorie Souza | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Marjorie Souza | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Marjorie Souza | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Marjorie Souza | 24c | 227.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marjorie Souza | 6c | 203.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Marjorie Souza | 9c | 171.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marjorie Souza | 22c | 142.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Marjorie Souza | 11c | 111.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Marjorie Souza | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Marjorie Souza | 35c | 94.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Marjorie Souza | 13c | 84.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Marjorie Souza | 21c | 56.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Marjorie Souza | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.