TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RUSTECof RUSTEC, HEROIC Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked RUSTEC52c5,831$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.9634559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HEROIC Academy51c1,610$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.34,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC54c1,103$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed HEROIC Academy42c999.89$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9549935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HEROIC Academy47c878.47$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.655,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked HEROIC Academy45c549.32$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6134140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked HEROIC Academy50c505.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.452,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed HEROIC Academy3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed RUSTEC57c488.11$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5125934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d6…e718backed HEROIC Academy50c484.15$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.315253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked HEROIC Academy47c390.92$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.731,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HEROIC Academy10c358$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.035,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HEROIC Academy45c310.02$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5191945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked HEROIC Academy43c278.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed HEROIC Academy43c264.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HEROIC Academy23c237.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0662738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed HEROIC Academy43c228.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9162248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed RUSTEC56c188.68$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.022,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed HEROIC Academy49c165.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HEROIC Academy37c160.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.753,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked HEROIC Academy46c154.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7126048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed RUSTEC55c132.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked RUSTEC78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.161,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked HEROIC Academy29c126.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.214,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HEROIC Academy47c120.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.864,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HEROIC Academy22c116$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.527,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HEROIC Academy55c115.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.376,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked RUSTEC55c114.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.345759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC62c109.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.021,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked HEROIC Academy49c106.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5223038.3%88 W · 142 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed HEROIC Academy47c105.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked RUSTEC58c99.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9920944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked RUSTEC55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.283,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked RUSTEC55c81.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.732,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked HEROIC Academy50c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed RUSTEC61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.430247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed HEROIC Academy44c59.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2218747.1%88 W · 99 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed HEROIC Academy24c54.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9596543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed HEROIC Academy50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked HEROIC Academy50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed HEROIC Academy42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked HEROIC Academy43c32.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed RUSTEC55c31.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3134750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed RUSTEC55c31.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.442,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed RUSTEC52c26.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6220242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked RUSTEC54c21.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8214751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed RUSTEC65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed HEROIC Academy51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe83…82a8backed RUSTEC80c16.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3410775.7%81 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.