Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2bd6a528c01b9da0c007df1cc9cd47475486631c7c95ee883736fda1813e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martha Matoulaof Julie Struplova, Martha Matoula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martha Matoula | 62c | 3,806$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Julie Struplova | 36c | 2,469$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.37 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Martha Matoula | 58c | 1,930$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.81 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Julie Struplova | 39c | 1,564$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.09 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Julie Struplova | 31c | 1,291$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Julie Struplova | 56c | 1,062$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.97 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julie Struplova | 30c | 484.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Martha Matoula | 68c | 331.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julie Struplova | 54c | 254.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Martha Matoula | 46c | 254.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Julie Struplova | 34c | 202.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Julie Struplova | 33c | 172.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Martha Matoula | 68c | 134.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julie Struplova | 18c | 131.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Julie Struplova | 44c | 102.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Martha Matoula | 20c | 99.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Martha Matoula | 54c | 99.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Julie Struplova | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Julie Struplova | 56c | 61.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Julie Struplova | 36c | 59.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julie Struplova | 71c | 57.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Martha Matoula | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Martha Matoula | 66c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julie Struplova | 59c | 18.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Martha Matoula | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.