Premier League · resolved market
Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7961b617616612901011edb07bbca21aaee86b50847c5aa3c3bf4d309f32d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 3,092$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.62 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 52c | 2,951$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.66 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 1,194$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 34c | 988.36$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.66 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 7c | 721.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.79 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…da72backed Under | 65c | 679.12$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 499.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 387.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.22 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 80c | 212.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 208.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Over | 71c | 126.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Over | 77c | 88.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…2d1cbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 63c | 76.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 27c | 74.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 36.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: Burnley FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Bradford City AFC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Bradford City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.