Premier League · resolved market
Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4e8dbd56178c52aa1e8d405838fc28503c4d31d4d9713acb59a23d910a797b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 1,585$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 53c | 1,243$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.57 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 1,180$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 52c | 1,092$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.21 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 1,073$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.01 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 12c | 243.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 202.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 198.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 49c | 188.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 174.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 52c | 39.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 30.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 51c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 51c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: Burnley FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Bradford City AFC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Bradford City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.