Premier League · resolved market
Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x464d7b304f6139c9e0e4ab7f0e8f27f0c26fbc18a48c9024e385d3639d1d5b6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 58c | 2,736$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 2,578$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.23 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 9c | 1,834$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 54c | 1,751$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.34 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 881.28$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Over | 44c | 755.23$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 27c | 134.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 27c | 39.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…a414backed Over | 75c | 35.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…5e79backed Over | 48c | 29.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: Burnley FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bradford City AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Bradford City AFC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Bradford City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.