Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b93cab6f49e9ee365d87fba1b8f49d7a62bbcfc0038d5d7a355389cfdd9cf15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 6c | 14,581$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.72 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 12c | 4,808$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 8c | 2,373$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 3c | 1,944$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 13c | 769$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 13c | 750$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 13c | 750$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 16c | 632.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 13c | 627.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 11c | 600$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 13c | 382.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 324.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 8c | 299$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 12c | 200.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 7c | 189.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 9c | 176.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 11c | 102.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirothis page
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs ManeiroPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.