Lol · resolved market
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b944e46464a9af6a779a3c50e22ed5796d494c80bf3b5155722f1677e9e460f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joblifeof BK ROG Esports, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Joblife | 49c | 1,456$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.5 | 830 | 54.5%452 W · 378 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BK ROG Esports | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Joblife | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2,021 | 58.1%1,174 W · 847 L | +86.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked BK ROG Esports | 52c | 729.2$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.18 | 669 | 42.9%287 W · 382 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked BK ROG Esports | 43c | 700$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BK ROG Esports | 12c | 656.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed BK ROG Esports | 46c | 618.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.11 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BK ROG Esports | 3c | 560.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Joblife | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed BK ROG Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked BK ROG Esports | 34c | 387.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BK ROG Esports | 38c | 363.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 2,915 | 38.5%1,122 W · 1,793 L | -120.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Joblife | 53c | 308.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 1,607 | 42.4%681 W · 926 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed BK ROG Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7db6backed Joblife | 76c | 264.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Joblife | 49c | 261.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Joblife | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | +64.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Joblife | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 637 | 51.8%330 W · 307 L | +38.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BK ROG Esports | 50c | 196.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 2,378 | 40.9%973 W · 1,405 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Joblife | 55c | 178.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed BK ROG Esports | 26c | 165.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed BK ROG Esports | 54c | 157.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 488 | 42.4%207 W · 281 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BK ROG Esports | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BK ROG Esports | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked BK ROG Esports | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked BK ROG Esports | 48c | 133.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed BK ROG Esports | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Joblife | 52c | 121.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…102bbacked Joblife | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed BK ROG Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Joblife | 52c | 85.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 1,061 | 44.8%475 W · 586 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joblife | 69c | 79.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Joblife | 48c | 66.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…5e74backed BK ROG Esports | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked BK ROG Esports | 47c | 53.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3b…5129backed BK ROG Esports | 53c | 52.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BK ROG Esports | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Joblife | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Joblife | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Joblife | 75c | 38.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Joblife | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed BK ROG Esports | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Joblife | 55c | 28.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed BK ROG Esports | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed BK ROG Esports | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.