Tennis · resolved market
Wuning 2: Aoran Wang vs Khumoun Sultanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd3682212e00f2b9d3d2506c61d7ba1642bd2b4eec5afd791aec3f135aacde3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khumoun Sultanovof Aoran Wang, Khumoun Sultanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aoran Wang | 11c | 2,531$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Aoran Wang | 12c | 1,186$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Aoran Wang | 25c | 928.49$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Aoran Wang | 12c | 759.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Aoran Wang | 13c | 749.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Aoran Wang | 10c | 590.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Aoran Wang | 18c | 536.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aoran Wang | 9c | 468.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Aoran Wang | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Aoran Wang | 9c | 324.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Aoran Wang | 16c | 316.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Aoran Wang | 16c | 281.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Aoran Wang | 7c | 277.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Aoran Wang | 9c | 211.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Aoran Wang | 20c | 207.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Aoran Wang | 10c | 196.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aoran Wang | 6c | 192.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Aoran Wang | 7c | 166.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aoran Wang | 12c | 163.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aoran Wang | 13c | 152.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Aoran Wang | 12c | 142.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Aoran Wang | 10c | 123.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…2dcebacked Aoran Wang | 12c | 119.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Khumoun Sultanov | 80c | 107.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Aoran Wang | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aoran Wang | 18c | 55.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Khumoun Sultanov | 75c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.