Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Kristijan Juhas vs Martin Van Der Meerschen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be130f283915f14d356b42e1229b8e5b0210fea5068733e2e2f33adb5bdd348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Van Der Meerschenof Kristijan Juhas, Martin Van Der Meerschen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59ce…d001backed Kristijan Juhas | 0c | 15,440$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Kristijan Juhas | 24c | 499.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 80c | 404.92$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kristijan Juhas | 8c | 160.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 76c | 138.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…7e2ebacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 54c | 125.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kristijan Juhas | 28c | 123.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kristijan Juhas | 24c | 87.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Kristijan Juhas | 60c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Kristijan Juhas | 32c | 32.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Martin Van Der Meerschen | 76c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Kristijan Juhas | 60c | 25.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.