Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bfb82d4805c974b635c3de60fe7095cf0a7be563bacb66758c42995ab3c4ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof Olympique Lyonnais, FC Nantes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked FC Nantes | 7c | 7,645$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 1,900$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked FC Nantes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked FC Nantes | 5c | 998.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FC Nantes | 6c | 483.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked FC Nantes | 55c | 272$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed FC Nantes | 56c | 210.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 209.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 204.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Nantes | 56c | 180.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Olympique Lyonnais | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked FC Nantes | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed FC Nantes | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed FC Nantes | 55c | 67.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed FC Nantes | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed FC Nantes | 55c | 53.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked FC Nantes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Olympique Lyonnais | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed FC Nantes | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed FC Nantes | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed FC Nantes | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed FC Nantes | 55c | 31.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed FC Nantes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed FC Nantes | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.