Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0bcb0c5b1f7ab83bdcc5bb970015a334f18d2a9a3eb193c8fbbbedbe166ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 49c | 25,141$12,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,925.6 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 19,224$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.96 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 51c | 11,729$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.97 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 10,662$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 48c | 7,365$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.85 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 50c | 4,956$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.13 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 1,484$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,090$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.87 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 951.5$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.69 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 49c | 838.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.04 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 48c | 567.91$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 539.26$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.81 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 48c | 368.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 323.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 49c | 297.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 204.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 49c | 203.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Over | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 116.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 53c | 91.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 66.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 48c | 42.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…fc49backed Under | 54c | 38.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 55c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 151.5this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 153.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.