Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ae41c5204b89608b4471a59bb41b1388d6d455f7708bd5d645a69415ff1099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 47c | 2,992$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.02 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 2,768$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.7 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.76 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 868.83$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 241.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 220.87$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Under | 53c | 198.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 53c | 187.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…e524backed Over | 57c | 174.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 159.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Over | 43c | 152.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 126.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 126.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 63c | 123.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 54c | 122.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 53c | 119.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 105.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 74.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 72.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 61.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 51.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 48c | 48.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…cdf8backed Under | 52c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Over | 64c | 31.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 49c | 27.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 153.5this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 151.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.