Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Diana Martynov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c49e10ec0b4238ec5705e2274e3f15d3265c5665ecdff807ed5f999f27f844a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garciaof Garcia, Martynov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Garcia | 75c | 2,925$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.55 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martynov | 23c | 2,566$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Garcia | 65c | 1,556$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.23 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Martynov | 28c | 1,095$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martynov | 24c | 1,066$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Martynov | 34c | 785.25$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Garcia | 77c | 779.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Martynov | 25c | 772.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Garcia | 75c | 657.62$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martynov | 34c | 512.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Martynov | 27c | 399.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Martynov | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martynov | 28c | 217.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Martynov | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Martynov | 26c | 189.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Martynov | 28c | 177.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Garcia | 77c | 147.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Garcia | 73c | 137.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Garcia | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Martynov | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Garcia | 64c | 126.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Garcia | 78c | 117.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martynov | 28c | 100.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Martynov | 26c | 100.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Garcia | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Garcia | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martynov | 28c | 82.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Martynov | 26c | 80.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Garcia | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Martynov | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Martynov | 28c | 71.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Martynov | 25c | 70.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Garcia | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martynov | 29c | 66.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Garcia | 63c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d808backed Martynov | 33c | 64.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Martynov | 23c | 60.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…5945backed Garcia | 61c | 48.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Garcia | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Garcia | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Garcia | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Garcia | 75c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.