Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6e11476f16cd99ac5fc90f48d8cf496e16c82bc43c59e7986022b0c4138134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fire Passionof Eternal Fire Passion, Beşiktaş Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Beşiktaş Esports | 50c | 2,115$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.49 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Beşiktaş Esports | 5c | 1,053$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Eternal Fire Passion | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Eternal Fire Passion | 41c | 995$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.05 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 40c | 633.46$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 59c | 365.78$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Eternal Fire Passion | 45c | 294.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Beşiktaş Esports | 40c | 225.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 25c | 187.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beşiktaş Esports | 31c | 168.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Eternal Fire Passion | 64c | 126.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Eternal Fire Passion | 73c | 120.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Eternal Fire Passion | 59c | 116.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 59c | 114.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Beşiktaş Esports | 39c | 110.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 51c | 101.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Beşiktaş Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire Passion | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Eternal Fire Passion | 56c | 95.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Eternal Fire Passion | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 62c | 70.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Beşiktaş Esports | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Eternal Fire Passion | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 58.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Eternal Fire Passion | 72c | 41.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Beşiktaş Esports | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Beşiktaş Esports | 41c | 30.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 73c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire Passion | 71c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Eternal Fire Passion (-1.5) vs Beşiktaş Esports (+1.5)Beşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group ABeşiktaş Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.