NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9e93e16f3771a9626faf0c975924240c67bb4d1b6062495748e85c6b39e358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Flyers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Flyers | 49c | 3,094$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Penguins | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2e…9937backed Flyers | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Flyers | 52c | 1,306$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.32 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Penguins | 50c | 1,003$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Flyers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers | 51c | 863.07$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.17 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…7e27backed Penguins | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Penguins | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 50c | 704.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 49c | 699.97$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Penguins | 51c | 621.57$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Flyers | 51c | 620$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 45c | 516.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins | 50c | 478.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Penguins | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Penguins | 51c | 393.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 50c | 286.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…c6c4backed Flyers | 50c | 271.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed Penguins | 51c | 242.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Flyers | 50c | 232.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 49c | 230.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…774fbacked Flyers | 64c | 228.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed Penguins | 51c | 226.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…9222backed Penguins | 50c | 215.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…a53cbacked Flyers | 50c | 215.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…1f15backed Penguins | 51c | 212.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…60a6backed Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…33ddbacked Penguins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Penguins | 50c | 199.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…75e5backed Flyers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Penguins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…8e43backed Flyers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…be67backed Flyers | 51c | 170$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 49c | 169.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Penguins | 51c | 163.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Flyers | 51c | 154.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…5033backed Flyers | 51c | 152.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Penguins | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…9f1abacked Flyers | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Penguins | 51c | 139.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Flyers | 50c | 138.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…e5f6backed Flyers | 51c | 135.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Penguins | 51c | 131.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Penguins | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…1144backed Penguins | 51c | 128.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8f5ebacked Flyers | 51c | 128.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Penguins | 51c | 128.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…1aefbacked Penguins | 51c | 125.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Flyers | 50c | 124.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Flyers | 50c | 122.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…41f9backed Flyers | 51c | 118.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…9bd6backed Flyers | 51c | 116.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Flyers | 51c | 114.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…eb69backed Penguins | 51c | 113.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…963dbacked Penguins | 51c | 112.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Penguins | 51c | 110.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…0215backed Flyers | 50c | 107.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Flyers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flyers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 36c | 98.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…4e10backed Penguins | 51c | 96.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…b00abacked Flyers | 51c | 93.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…66babacked Penguins | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Penguins | 51c | 87.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 50c | 85.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 38c | 83.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…e5a9backed Penguins | 51c | 78.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Flyers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Penguins | 51c | 72.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…c32abacked Penguins | 51c | 71.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Penguins | 53c | 66.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked Penguins | 50c | 66.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…c13fbacked Flyers | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Penguins | 51c | 63.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…5706backed Penguins | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…be3dbacked Flyers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 50c | 59.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65e…814ebacked Penguins | 51c | 59.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flyers | 47c | 58.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Flyers | 50c | 56.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…8a3fbacked Penguins | 51c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Flyers | 51c | 51.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…d88cbacked Flyers | 51c | 50.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…ea9bbacked Penguins | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…0f8cbacked Flyers | 50c | 48.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…14f4backed Penguins | 51c | 47.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…ec30backed Flyers | 51c | 45.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…976dbacked Penguins | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Penguins | 50c | 42.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Penguins | 50c | 42.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…5f4fbacked Penguins | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Penguins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…46b3backed Penguins | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Flyers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.