South American Leagues · resolved market
Will LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cbb105a7d78dcb3d73a082908b968069ebce4753f29b1a46e4551913c1cd3c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 4,468$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.43 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 1,904$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.37 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 416.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 29c | 392.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 23c | 390.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 67c | 327.34$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 275.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 239.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 206.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 113.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 82.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 77.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes | 21c | 71.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 64.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yes | 58c | 55.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 53.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 29c | 45.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 53c | 40.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 28c | 39.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 40c | 37.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Yes | 28c | 35.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 32.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Yes | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 54c | 29.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 51c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 54c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-26?No won
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.