Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army Black Knights vs. Lafayette Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc832742f976278666216fa1d51ccfab262d63fecbd65c564503f1bb15cecae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lafayette Leopardsof Army Black Knights, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 74c | 4,761$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.72 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Army Black Knights | 23c | 4,277$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 3,333$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Army Black Knights | 38c | 2,021$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.54 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Army Black Knights | 29c | 1,656$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 74c | 1,355$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Army Black Knights | 26c | 1,122$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Army Black Knights | 9c | 1,004$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lafayette Leopards | 70c | 997.54$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Army Black Knights | 25c | 899.46$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Army Black Knights | 40c | 895.4$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 63c | 823$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 71c | 690.95$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Army Black Knights | 23c | 687.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 632.36$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Army Black Knights | 7c | 624.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Army Black Knights | 38c | 623.71$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Army Black Knights | 37c | 607.01$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Lafayette Leopards | 71c | 599.11$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Army Black Knights | 39c | 508.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 73c | 497.19$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 69c | 400.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Army Black Knights | 3c | 396.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 23cpaid | +289.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lafayette Leopards | 80c | 366.06$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lafayette Leopards | 60c | 325.09$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Army Black Knights | 7c | 304.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Army Black Knights | 13c | 299.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights | 37c | 297.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lafayette Leopards | 61c | 251.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 67c | 247.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Army Black Knights | 37c | 209.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Army Black Knights | 37c | 202.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Army Black Knights | 11c | 170.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Army Black Knights | 38c | 161.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Lafayette Leopards | 69c | 132.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Army Black Knights | 39c | 127.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Army Black Knights | 37c | 111.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Army Black Knights | 28c | 108.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Army Black Knights | 38c | 99.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Army Black Knights | 25c | 99.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 82.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Army Black Knights | 32c | 48.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Army Black Knights | 35c | 44.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 43.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lafayette Leopards | 77c | 43.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Army Black Knights | 24c | 42.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Army Black Knights | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lafayette Leopards | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…de47backed Army Black Knights | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…8e24backed Lafayette Leopards | 76c | 29.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lafayette Leopards | 61c | 21.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 61c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Lafayette Leopards | 66c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army Black Knights vs. Lafayette Leopardsthis page
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-3.5)Lafayette Leopards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.