MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cca49266d1c70cf1edfebcd983f42dc88532371cf43303177ecf8f0c61e05af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Angels, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 59c | 58,097$34,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,531.56 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 41c | 52,342$21,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,989 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Angels | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Angels | 40c | 12,241$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 52c | 10,502$5,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,417.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 60c | 8,338$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.02 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 57c | 4,833$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 46c | 3,630$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.95 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 42c | 3,032$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.78 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 60c | 2,456$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 59c | 2,396$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 39c | 2,237$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Angels | 61c | 2,196$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.79 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Astros | 60c | 2,193$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Angels | 40c | 1,876$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.86 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Angels | 41c | 1,228$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.82 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Astros | 57c | 1,210$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 39c | 1,150$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.49 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 60c | 991.66$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Angels | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 59c | 954.59$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Astros | 64c | 937.21$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Angels | 40c | 799.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Angels | 39c | 749.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.47 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Angels | 55c | 731.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.78 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 41c | 534$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 59c | 508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Angels | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Angels | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Angels | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 41c | 435$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Astros | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Angels | 51c | 378$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Astros | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 59c | 332.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Astros | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 40c | 301.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 39c | 295.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 43c | 292.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Angels | 39c | 250.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 41c | 244.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Angels | 46c | 215.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Astros | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 49c | 181.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Astros | 48c | 160.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels | 40c | 158.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Astros | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Angels | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Angels | 44c | 147.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Angels | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 63c | 115.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Angels | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Astros | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Angels | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 41c | 88.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Astros | 59c | 82.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels | 39c | 81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Astros | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Astros | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Astros | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Angels | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…25bcbacked Astros | 61c | 57.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Astros | 55c | 57.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 59c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Astros | 62c | 51.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e57abacked Astros | 59c | 49.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Angels | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…aaefbacked Angels | 42c | 48.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Astros | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Angels | 45c | 35.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Astros | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Angels | 40c | 31.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Astros | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Angels | 35c | 30.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Angels | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…6f17backed Astros | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels | 41c | 26.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…5e57backed Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Astros | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…9d40backed Astros | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Astros | 63c | 16.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Astrosthis page
- Angels vs. Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.