Lol · resolved market
LoL: Rising Gaming vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1bb6badf467355d32946a66b5145c287d69a771088a37ddbdd2cf9134c9b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rising Gamingof Rising Gaming, Arneb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b95…4ce8backed Arneb | 44c | 6,881$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Rising Gaming | 64c | 3,514$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.92 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Arneb | 78c | 2,454$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.42 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Arneb | 36c | 2,000$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.43 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…45f0backed Rising Gaming | 65c | 1,686$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Arneb | 16c | 1,200$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…7a38backed Rising Gaming | 72c | 1,092$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Arneb | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Rising Gaming | 65c | 948.09$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.39 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Arneb | 33c | 632.49$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rising Gaming | 61c | 532.82$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Arneb | 9c | 520.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rising Gaming | 59c | 492.09$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Rising Gaming | 63c | 453.86$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…516cbacked Rising Gaming | 72c | 429.09$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked Rising Gaming | 68c | 411.11$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Arneb | 26c | 396.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Rising Gaming | 64c | 388$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rising Gaming | 51c | 347.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rising Gaming | 53c | 328.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.15 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Arneb | 37c | 251.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rising Gaming | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rising Gaming | 66c | 225.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Arneb | 26c | 218.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rising Gaming | 63c | 181.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Rising Gaming | 41c | 180.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…ef0cbacked Arneb | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 147.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Rising Gaming | 68c | 145.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Arneb | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Arneb | 34c | 139.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Arneb | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Rising Gaming | 74c | 114.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Arneb | 34c | 110.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed Rising Gaming | 67c | 109.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Arneb | 34c | 108.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 105.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Arneb | 34c | 102.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Arneb | 28c | 100.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Rising Gaming | 73c | 80.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Arneb | 34c | 80.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Rising Gaming | 65c | 77.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked Arneb | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 65.5%184 W · 97 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rising Gaming | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Rising Gaming | 49c | 65.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Rising Gaming | 58c | 65.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…c97fbacked Arneb | 57c | 65.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…37e2backed Rising Gaming | 64c | 62.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Rising Gaming | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Arneb | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Arneb | 37c | 53.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Arneb | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…2f5cbacked Rising Gaming | 61c | 49.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5304…4665backed Arneb | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…3738backed Rising Gaming | 70c | 43.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed Arneb | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Arneb | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 39.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Rising Gaming | 64c | 39.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Arneb | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…8e22backed Arneb | 32c | 36.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Arneb | 36c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Rising Gaming | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Rising Gaming | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Rising Gaming | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Arneb | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…9b10backed Rising Gaming | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Rising Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Arneb | 65c | 15.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Rising Gaming vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Rising Gaming vs Arneb - Game 1 WinnerArneb won
- LoL: Rising Gaming vs Arneb - Game 2 WinnerRising Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.