Asian League · resolved market
Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1dba75ee91c18a28eea4af20cc2e0166189d1d667141a1a41df6d96ac7b69f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,187$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,534$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.09 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 55c | 645.61$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 8c | 561.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 240.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…6e2bbacked Under | 72c | 221.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 55c | 219.76$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 184.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 55c | 168.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 28c | 144$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 58c | 123.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 11c | 105.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 57c | 102$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 91.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 44c | 90.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 53c | 84.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 56c | 47.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 49c | 34.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…5cdbbacked Over | 47c | 31.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 48c | 31.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 52c | 27.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 25.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 56c | 23.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed Under | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.