Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Joint vs Starodubtseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d2546b58f8a5c0e1aae61fd5f0a5dccc666b0e5204c195370e2247776384678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jointof Joint, Starodubtseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Starodubtseva | 62c | 352.77$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joint | 55c | 275.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Joint | 47c | 219.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Starodubtseva | 33c | 183$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Joint | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Starodubtseva | 43c | 170.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Joint | 38c | 169.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joint | 44c | 150.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Starodubtseva | 62c | 121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Starodubtseva | 43c | 121$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Starodubtseva | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Starodubtseva | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Starodubtseva | 53c | 57.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joint | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Starodubtseva | 59c | 40.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Starodubtseva | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Starodubtseva | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Joint vs Starodubtsevathis page
- Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia StarodubtsevaYulia Starodubtseva won
- Set 2 Winner: Joint vs StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva won
- Set Handicap: Starodubtseva (-1.5) vs Joint (+1.5)Joint won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.