Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3daa59c651c65fbf5a110870cff3942ae94ecd14c0f138647985fe38a4aa758e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 5,025$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 17c | 4,940$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 1,255$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 957.2$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 77c | 759.91$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 41c | 709.57$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.92 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 28c | 592$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 28c | 459.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 54c | 279.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 19c | 257.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 19c | 174.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 19c | 168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 50c | 161.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Over | 60c | 152.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 67c | 148.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 42c | 122.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 50c | 108.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 26c | 100.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 37c | 90.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 83.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 19c | 81.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 36c | 70.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 72c | 60.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 27c | 59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 68c | 52.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 25c | 50.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 42.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 29c | 35.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 64c | 21.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 63c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 79c | 16.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.