Lol · resolved market
LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddbfe1fbbfaeab0bd6646237e49b480443c0aff9e68967597c88e9b0b5f07f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REDPack Esportsof MAGAZA, REDPack Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed MAGAZA | 37c | 1,247$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed REDPack Esports | 76c | 1,000$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked REDPack Esports | 65c | 418.38$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed MAGAZA | 76c | 343.74$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.53 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MAGAZA | 55c | 304$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 1,622 | 46.7%757 W · 865 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked MAGAZA | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…bf6ebacked MAGAZA | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked MAGAZA | 71c | 184.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MAGAZA | 33c | 181$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REDPack Esports | 23c | 166$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b68…4785backed MAGAZA | 78c | 128.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed REDPack Esports | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked REDPack Esports | 22c | 45.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MAGAZA | 56c | 41.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed MAGAZA | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…3cdfbacked MAGAZA | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a5babacked MAGAZA | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…74cdbacked MAGAZA | 76c | 13.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL PlayoffsMAGAZA won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports - Game 1 WinnerMAGAZA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.