Lol · resolved market
LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b411f0a2815892d5e3d4db4f9eedfddee0d46ae49552f8f52140ea6d22e201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MAGAZAof MAGAZA, REDPack Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed REDPack Esports | 29c | 1,175$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.14 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked REDPack Esports | 15c | 1,089$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed REDPack Esports | 10c | 999.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked REDPack Esports | 7c | 421$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked MAGAZA | 78c | 395.28$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed REDPack Esports | 7c | 181$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed MAGAZA | 69c | 175.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked REDPack Esports | 29c | 172.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked REDPack Esports | 12c | 164.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REDPack Esports | 44c | 146$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed REDPack Esports | 13c | 130.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MAGAZA | 69c | 118.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked MAGAZA | 61c | 100.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 96 | 78.1%75 W · 21 L | +12.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked MAGAZA | 66c | 99.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed REDPack Esports | 37c | 61.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MAGAZA | 64c | 60.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed MAGAZA | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REDPack Esports | 30c | 52.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REDPack Esports | 55c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MAGAZA | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed MAGAZA | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed MAGAZA | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed MAGAZA | 77c | 26.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MAGAZA | 54c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MAGAZA | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MAGAZA | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed MAGAZA | 78c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffsthis page
- LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports - Game 1 WinnerMAGAZA won
- LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports - Game 2 WinnerREDPack Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.