Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Matej Dodig vs Timofey Skatov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3de858286549fdf006765b939950e3335153919df621c95c7c5c2139792e9eaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodigof Dodig, Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Dodig | 58c | 6,653$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.48 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Skatov | 42c | 4,072$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dodig | 73c | 3,573$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.56 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Skatov | 40c | 3,482$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.56 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dodig | 70c | 1,949$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Dodig | 70c | 1,934$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.27 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Skatov | 24c | 1,687$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Skatov | 32c | 1,539$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodig | 72c | 1,433$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Skatov | 36c | 945.85$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Skatov | 41c | 915$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.06 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Skatov | 7c | 851.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dodig | 69c | 655.34$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodig | 53c | 591$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.46 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Dodig | 63c | 580.76$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Skatov | 26c | 552.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Skatov | 40c | 537$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Skatov | 40c | 431.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Skatov | 44c | 402$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dodig | 57c | 399.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Skatov | 56c | 338.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Dodig | 45c | 313.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Skatov | 16c | 291.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dodig | 69c | 279.43$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Skatov | 53c | 278.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Skatov | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Dodig | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Skatov | 45c | 252$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Skatov | 40c | 229$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Skatov | 44c | 207.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Skatov | 37c | 202.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Skatov | 54c | 195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Skatov | 53c | 190.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Dodig | 47c | 188.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Dodig | 71c | 184$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Skatov | 29c | 170.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dodig | 70c | 150.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba1…2ffcbacked Dodig | 77c | 149.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Skatov | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Dodig | 79c | 137.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Dodig | 43c | 120.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dodig | 43c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Dodig | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…3978backed Skatov | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dodig | 45c | 83.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Dodig | 44c | 83.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Dodig | 62c | 77.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Dodig | 40c | 72.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Dodig | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Dodig | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Skatov | 27c | 56.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dodig | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Dodig | 59c | 55.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Dodig | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Skatov | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Skatov | 56c | 53.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Skatov | 28c | 48.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Skatov | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…9684backed Dodig | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Skatov | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Skatov | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Skatov | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Skatov | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Dodig | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Dodig | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Dodig | 49c | 32.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…b331backed Skatov | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Skatov | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dodig | 57c | 28.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…d5a7backed Dodig | 74c | 22.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Skatov | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Dodig | 69c | 20.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Dodig | 77c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.