CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e1e592e76c32935382c1816f1b225a50b91c75c5e4af626002d23e32e93865b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof ex-RUBY, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 6,357$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.55 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 5,660$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.73 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,498$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 1,200$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.95 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 786.92$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 703.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6e26backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 40c | 376.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 355.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 206.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 192.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 191.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 183.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 181.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 158.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 150.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 148.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 125.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 117.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 103.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 96.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 67.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 45.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 45.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 22.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.