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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Rune Eaters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY68c1,096$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.233,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Rune Eaters2c1,030$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY65c701.66$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.834,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters31c684$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.175,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Rune Eaters31c654.13$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.736538.9%142 W · 223 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY65c493.02$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.558,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Rune Eaters31c414.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters50c387.88$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.55,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY63c263.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.976,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Rune Eaters28c261.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0734048.8%166 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Rune Eaters15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8719150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed ex-RUBY68c249.3$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.313655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Rune Eaters18c202.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.362,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3491…d64ebacked Rune Eaters40c194.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.275141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY59c186.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.195,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY74c167.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.244,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed ex-RUBY71c145.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9517759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY64c145$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.932,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Rune Eaters38c141.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4511959.7%71 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97d…e699backed Rune Eaters32c113.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.923537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Rune Eaters34c107.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.597745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY77c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Rune Eaters34c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.872,42246.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L-56.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Rune Eaters32c63.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Rune Eaters34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Rune Eaters30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters35c53.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Rune Eaters34c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e03…5c0abacked Rune Eaters32c46.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Rune Eaters32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.818758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5068…024bbacked Rune Eaters38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152524%6 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUBY77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932,58534.6%894 W · 1,691 L-200.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY78c29.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.551,55033.9%525 W · 1,025 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY71c26.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.652,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0529…44bbbacked ex-RUBY59c24.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9219455.2%107 W · 87 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed ex-RUBY71c21.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1634547.5%164 W · 181 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked ex-RUBY71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.828644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY59c19.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.935,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed ex-RUBY69c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2716860.7%102 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.