CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e21fc411ae3b8fd87d42d2f210d9dd52ba67751eece77f950ac8bcf2a2679cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof GenOne, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 3,047$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked GenOne | 54c | 2,401$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.36 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked GenOne | 37c | 1,483$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.46 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed GenOne | 37c | 530.65$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed GenOne | 37c | 421.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 352.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed GenOne | 38c | 351$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 213.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed GenOne | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GenOne | 38c | 188.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 165.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed GenOne | 38c | 142.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked GenOne | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 108.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed GenOne | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GenOne | 40c | 61.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed GenOne | 53c | 52.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 47.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked GenOne | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed GenOne | 35c | 33.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 33.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 21.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.