TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUSTECof GenOne, ex-RUSTEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdff6…1963backed ex-RUSTEC54c758.86$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.484560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed GenOne42c654.03$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0340264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GenOne44c560.2$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.472,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed GenOne51c397.38$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.38937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GenOne37c357.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.21,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed GenOne53c300.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3510036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC61c280.92$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.984,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…1a8fbacked ex-RUSTEC37c236.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed GenOne37c158.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.589157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed ex-RUSTEC35c138.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.857354.8%40 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne43c130.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.534,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked ex-RUSTEC69c126.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8511551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked GenOne38c115.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-RUSTEC63c114.69$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne31c111.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.913,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-RUSTEC44c87.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9737057%211 W · 159 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked GenOne37c86.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1228037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed GenOne37c86.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1216038.1%61 W · 99 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne48c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GenOne36c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.42,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.953,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ex-RUSTEC39c65.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.932,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC68c64.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.942,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne65c59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.13,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed ex-RUSTEC30c55.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.179339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed ex-RUSTEC27c54.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7419035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ef…647cbacked GenOne57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed GenOne65c52.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0942154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.592,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked GenOne63c48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked GenOne41c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5737922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed GenOne36c39.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1422053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne39c38.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.294,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed GenOne38c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked ex-RUSTEC50c36.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUSTEC77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.362,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GenOne65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8b…4b22backed GenOne67c17.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked GenOne78c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6539772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.