Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: OXEN vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2d8049fb6209bd7ed58064c2e3366e49debed375eaf99a4a90253a7006f2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof OXEN, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked OXEN | 21c | 2,582$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.42 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked BESTIA | 78c | 2,522$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.78 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed BESTIA | 74c | 2,429$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.48 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked OXEN | 26c | 1,003$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OXEN | 20c | 934.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.67 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked OXEN | 25c | 464.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked OXEN | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OXEN | 26c | 342.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed BESTIA | 75c | 311.73$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked OXEN | 20c | 292.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OXEN | 14c | 256.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked OXEN | 25c | 224.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed OXEN | 26c | 212.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed OXEN | 26c | 207.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed OXEN | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OXEN | 16c | 181.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OXEN | 16c | 181$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked OXEN | 25c | 174.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OXEN | 26c | 161.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed OXEN | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed OXEN | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 80c | 102.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked OXEN | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed OXEN | 26c | 99.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed BESTIA | 75c | 78.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked OXEN | 21c | 69.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked OXEN | 19c | 66.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…d312backed OXEN | 36c | 55.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed BESTIA | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed OXEN | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed BESTIA | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…fcaebacked OXEN | 25c | 46.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA | 75c | 44.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BESTIA | 63c | 39.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed BESTIA | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked BESTIA | 78c | 34.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed BESTIA | 74c | 31.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed BESTIA | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed BESTIA | 75c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: OXEN vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonthis page
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs OXEN (+1.5)BESTIA won
- Valorant: OXEN vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.