NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Sibir Novosibirsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e3af144d07e993f68cd93c1a04ed0afc85944e314981a3e7b60130929fecf99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Sibir Novosibirsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 4,050$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.38 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 39c | 4,047$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.47 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 39c | 997.36$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.97 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 519.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 68c | 205.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 32c | 160.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 9c | 135.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…fcaebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 94.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 89.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…bfbebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 41.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…5c42backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 39.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…a457backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 39.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…b8eebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d8…916dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 29.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 77c | 28.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0929…b2d5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…fe7dbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…e1b8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 27.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…c973backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…4922backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 22.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…38babacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 21.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…4880backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…8abebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 19.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…3dd6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf5…7d72backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…f1f6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 61c | 18.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.