NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5d40fcb2c79f084acc7e176ec5ce529c2a388530ad488e4778be3610f79c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Titansof Titans, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Seahawks | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Titans | 51c | 4,648$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.69 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Seahawks | 46c | 4,326$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.19 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Seahawks | 46c | 2,166$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.71 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Titans | 53c | 1,105$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.2 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cc…f76cbacked Seahawks | 20c | 694.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Seahawks | 77c | 526.47$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.73 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Seahawks | 45c | 505$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Titans | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Titans | 29c | 494.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…0773backed Seahawks | 69c | 400.39$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Titans | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Titans | 52c | 289.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Titans | 54c | 221.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Titans | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Titans | 20c | 138.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Titans | 45c | 118.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Seahawks | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Seahawks | 51c | 94.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Titans | 48c | 90.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…30e6backed Seahawks | 51c | 32.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.