Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Ziga Sesko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7722d7cbe9d3b4f9ea07af7d68c17c4df11e265cefb1b901474ae0eddc41bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Ziga Sesko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ziga Sesko | 6c | 3,421$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Ziga Sesko | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ziga Sesko | 6c | 1,601$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Ziga Sesko | 5c | 1,330$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ziga Sesko | 8c | 1,035$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Ziga Sesko | 11c | 901.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Ziga Sesko | 2c | 855.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Ziga Sesko | 6c | 692.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…526dbacked Ziga Sesko | 4c | 558.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Ziga Sesko | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Ziga Sesko | 16c | 244.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ziga Sesko | 17c | 199.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ziga Sesko | 18c | 187.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Molcan | 80c | 179.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Ziga Sesko | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ziga Sesko | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…0bdabacked Ziga Sesko | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Alex Molcan | 80c | 14.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.